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HomeMatch PredictionSTA vs REN, BBL 2025-26: Match 21 Preview, Pitch Report, Fantasy Tips & Prediction

STA vs REN, BBL 2025-26: Match 21 Preview, Pitch Report, Fantasy Tips & Prediction

Author
CricRadar Staff
January 20, 2026, 8:21 PM IST
2 Min Read

The Melbourne Derby returns under lights at the iconic Melbourne Cricket Ground as the Melbourne Stars face the Melbourne Renegades in Match 22 of the Big Bash League 2025-26. With contrasting momentum between the two sides, this fixture carries significance not just for city bragging rights, but also for the points table.

The Stars have looked settled and confident throughout the tournament, delivering consistent performances across departments. Meanwhile, the Renegades arrive with urgency, knowing that another slip could push them further behind in the playoff race.

BBL 2025-26 STA vs REN Match Details

MatchMelbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades, Match 22
DateSunday, January 4, 2026
Time (IST)12:35 PM
VenueMelbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne
Live BroadcastJioStar Network, JioHotstar App

Pitch Report: Melbourne Cricket Ground

The MCG surface has offered true bounce and even carry during this season of the Big Bash League. Batters who spend time in the middle have been rewarded, while fast bowlers find movement with the new ball under lights.

Pitch NatureBatting-friendly with early seam movement
Average First Innings Score165–175 runs
Boundary SizeLarge square boundaries, straight shots preferred

Weather Report

ConditionForecast
Temperature22°C – 25°C
Rain ProbabilityVery Low
HumidityAround 55%
WindMild breeze assisting swing

Probable Playing XIs

Melbourne StarsMelbourne Renegades
Thomas Fraser RogersJosh Brown
Sam Harper (WK)Tim Seifert
Campbell KellawayMohammad Rizwan (WK)
Blake MacdonaldJake Fraser-McGurk
Marcus Stoinis (C)Oliver Peake
Glenn MaxwellMatthew Spoors
Hilton CartwrightHassan Khan
Tom CurranWill Sutherland (C)
Mitchell SwepsonAndrew Tye
Haris RaufGurinder Sandhu
Peter SiddleJason Behrendorff

Toss Impact

Teams winning the toss at the MCG often prefer to bowl first, using the initial assistance under lights. Chasing has been slightly easier as the pitch settles, but a disciplined powerplay with the ball remains crucial.

Key Players to Watch

PlayerWhy Important
Marcus StoinisMiddle-order stability and finishing power
Glenn MaxwellGame-changing impact with bat and off-spin
Mohammad RizwanAnchor role and wicketkeeping influence
Haris RaufRaw pace in middle and death overs

Dream11 Fantasy Tips

CategorySuggestions
Captain ChoicesMarcus Stoinis, Glenn Maxwell
Vice-Captain OptionsMohammad Rizwan, Tom Curran
Safe PicksSam Harper, Jason Behrendorff
Differential PicksCampbell Kellaway, Hassan Khan

Match Prediction

ParameterProjection
First Innings Score167+ runs
Powerplay Score45+ runs
Winning EdgeMelbourne Stars hold slight advantage

With form, balance, and home familiarity on their side, the Stars enter as favourites. However, derby games often defy logic, and the Renegades will be eager to produce a statement performance when it matters most.

  • Match Winner 🏆 Melbourne Renegades